Currently Democrats hold the majority in the senate, but I agree– just as predictions have been suggesting– it may not stay that way for long. Currently, the Senate consists of 51 Democrats, 2 Independents, and 47 Republicans.
The state of the senate is really up to only a few swing states, and many Democrats currently in power in those states could be losing their seats, simply due to their party.
It’s no secret the president has been widely controversial and unpopular with the Republicans, especially after the implementation of the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare. Many members of the Republican party has made it known on multiple occasions of their disapproval for the bill, and this would be the election that could make a difference and cause difficulties for Obamacare in the future.
People who would generally vote Democrat could be swayed by their opinion of this Democrat-backed bill and thus changing the polls.
For example, Arkansas Democrat Mark Pryor is hopes to sell himself as a moderate who embraces bipartisanship, as his state has grown more Republican after Obama’s election. A smart move; however, it’s still not enough.
The one thing Pryor isn’t absolutely down the middle on, his backing of the Affordable Care Act, will cost him votes this election. Many people of Arkansas just “can’t forgive Pryor for supporting Obamacare” and will be take that as an excuse to vote for Republican Tom Cotton.
This is only one state and one example, but given the current numbers, if this type of switch becomes a pattern of this 2014 election, three states can easily change the makeup of our entire senate.